The Train At The End Of The Tunnel | Ep. 1066
20:56 "... the train is coming down the tunnel guys ..."

To listen to this episode, subscribe to The Ben Shapiro Show on Apple Podcasts: https://apple.co/2SnMeqBeveryone continues to panic over kovad the media pretend universal mail-in voting is a great idea and trump does another disastrous interview i'm ben shapiro this is the ben shapiro show [Music] today's show is sponsored by expressvpn stand up for your digital rights take action at expressvpn.com now there is a real gap that has emerged in reality it's a it's a rift in the space time continuum see there's reality on the one end and this reality basically says that covet's bad it's risky you should be careful also it says that despite reopening in texas arizona and florida and despite the fact that there were increased hospitalizations and some increased deaths that that number has started to go down again these data suggest that things are not looking bad in places like new york and new jersey that despite increasing cases in massachusetts you're not seeing an overwhelming wave of death that in fact this is a virus that we are learning how to deal with that the treatments are getting better that people are generally being more careful and that while we should be risk averse we should also acknowledge that it's time to get back to something resembling ordinary life that doesn't mean go into extraordinarily risky circumstances doesn't mean don't wear a mask it does mean that this notion we're gonna lock down forever is very silly right that would be the accurate way of putting reality then there's the hair on fire media they're the politicians and that is we are all going to die you you personally are going to die of covid sure you're 20 years old and you've never had a health issue in your entire life you will probably die of covid not only you all of your friends everyone will probably die of covid that is the only rationale i can come up with for the way that politicians are currently acting see here's the thing people want government to do all the things people have this perverse notion that government can save you from all the bad things that happen in the universe now government does have a role when it comes to global pandemics in ensuring for example that people cannot enter from countries that the pandemic is extraordinarily prevalent and the government does have a role when it comes to enforcing public health but the problem is the government is a blunt force instrument this is true in every area of life government is not exact government is fairly ridiculous and when government tries to be fairly exact it tends to fail so let me give you an example so over the weekend my sister-in-law got married the restrictions that were put on the wedding were ones that were going to be voluntarily undertaken anyway it was an outdoor wedding as opposed to an indoor wedding everybody was socially distance everybody was wearing masks in the little bridal gifts that you get when you register for the wedding there was hand sanitizers everybody was hand sanitizing the restrictions that were placed on the wedding by the state of california were things like you can't have a dance floor okay i'm not kidding so it has to be outdoors and you can't have a dance floor because if there's a dance floor people might dance whereas if there's just an open field nobody will dance which of course is ridiculous because people have been dancing for centuries without dance floors and there were restrictions that said things like well you know you just have to make sure that there are there are shields around everybody who is talking to one another right you have to have the plexiglas shields which is totally fine everybody is doing that except they are also outdoors and you're socially distancing in other words government does not have the capacity to actually do any of this stuff right the government is a blunt force instrument sometimes you need a blunt-forced instrument the problem is the most blunt force instrument of the government is the lockdowns the lockdowns are a button and basically when people say government do something politicians just smash the button like a small toddler you just smash the button and it doesn't matter whether smashing the button is merited it doesn't really matter whether they're actually countervailing problems with smashing the button government actors have now been incentivized to smash the button at the first available opportunity which is actually quite bad because for example there are significant problems with smashing the button and doing it over and over and over again for example the new york times reports today that the pandemic that really we should be worried about is the tuberculosis pandemic not kidding the new york times has an article today about the tuberculosis pandemic saying people are not getting vaccinated there's a study out today suggesting that everybody being locked in their homes has actually resulted in people having weaker immune systems which makes perfect sense and this is actually the case during polio people who are upper income were actually getting polio were getting seriously affected by polio at a higher rate than people lower income because people lower income had their kids out playing in the streets and that was building up their immune system according to the new york times it begins with a mild fever and malaise followed by a painful cough and shortness of breath the infection prospers and crowds spreading to people in close reach containing an outbreak requires contact tracing as well as isolation and treatment of the sick for weeks or months this insidious disease has touched every part of the globe it is tuberculosis the biggest infectious disease killer worldwide claiming 1.5 million lives each year until this year tb and its deadly allies hiv and malaria were on the run yet now as the coveted pandemic spreads across the world consuming global health resources these perennially neglected adversaries are making a comeback pedro alonso director of the who's global malaria program says covet 19 risks derailing all our efforts and taking us back to where we were 20 years ago it's not just that scientific attention has been diverted from these other much more deadly diseases in terms of global cost equivalent 19 has to date killed something like i believe three quarters of a million people in a variety of countries about 700 thousand people in a variety of countries tuberculosis every year kills 1.5 million people obviously we've done a pretty good job in the united states attempting tuberculosis in a way we have not done with covid19 but there are costs to shuttering everything in the world the lockdowns have raised insurmountable barriers to patients who have to travel to obtain diagnoses or drugs according to interviews with two dozen public health officials doctors and patients worldwide fear of covid and the shuttering of clinics have kept away many patients struggling with hiv tb and malaria about 80 percent of tuberculosis hiv and malaria programs have reported disruptions in service in other words lockdowns have consequences guys and this ridiculous notion that you can lock down endlessly and it has no consequences either economic or health-related consequences you won't see an uptick in deaths of despair you won't see an uptick in other childhood diseases becoming much more prevalent because kids are not going in to get vaccinated it's just not true okay we have done the stupidest possible thing you can do in public policy which is single factor analysis single factor analysis is where you just say the worst thing in the world is getting infected from covet what can we do to stop getting infected with covid and so you just mash that government button and as we'll see this leads to some incredibly dumb policy like the policy we are currently seeing in new york we'll get to that in just one second first let us talk about the fact that hiring can be complicated so you really do 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of new york children suddenly being infected with covid and having terrible terrible reactions you know kawasaki like syndrome reactions and nobody ever asked how many people was it it was like 80. and were those effects permanent no but this led the news for literally a week it led the news right the the gap is really bad and that gap is getting worse the gap between information and simply political coverage is getting worse and worse which is the reason why for example there's a woman over at msnbc who just quit a msnbc producer who just quit and she wrote a letter basically saying the reason she's quitting is because cable news is bad for everybody she wrote a scathing letter saying that they block diversity of opinion over at msnbc and not only do they block diversity of opinion they also avoid actually reporting good information in order to do segments that are likely to draw eyeballs so all the incentive structures are wrong our politicians are incentivized to smash the lockdown button in order to avoid blame our media figures are incentivized to panic at every available opportunity or alternatively to blithely dismiss the thing is not a problem at all and you don't get any good information you still haven't we are now let's see we lock down in march so march april may june july we are now in month six of lockdown okay and you still don't know much more about this thing than you did originally because the coverage here is just garbage it's just garbage okay and some of the scientists haven't done poor job of conveying their findings but it is not just that it is also that everybody is incentivized wrong so perfect example of this bill de blasio yesterday announced that outdoor dining will be it will be the norm in new york through next year through next year how the hell does he know he says open restaurant will return next summer starting june 1st 2021 next summer not even like january 2021 june 2021 okay now i know i've got my calendar here i i've been reliably informed that today is august 4th so he's talking about 10 months of extensions to no indoor rest no indoor dining in new york what is the data that supports this seriously what's the data i get that indoor dining is more likely to spread kovid than outdoor lighting is i've gone to restaurants and done outdoor dining and when given the option to eat indoors i eat outdoors i get it i'm on board but we don't know where things are going to be in june 2021. we have no idea where things are gonna be in january 2021. we don't know where things are gonna be in october 2020. the notion that you're going to shut down all of new york city i mean you know many bodegas are going to go out of business because of this 15 000 small restaurants have already gone out of business in the united states in the past six months and they ain't coming back and he's gonna ban basically like there's not a lot of outdoor dining in new york hate to tell you not a lot of space in new york it was one of the big problems with new york city so here's bill de blasio idiot communist groundhog murderer mayor of new york this big weird frankenstein of a human saying that open restaurants will return next summer june 2021 as we'll see in a moment this is patently crazy here's bill de blasio being a crazy person these restaurants will be back again next year on the street as we've seen tremendous success starting june 1st next year and i wanted to say it now because i want people in communities to look forward and see that we're going to keep coming back strong i want the folks who own the restaurants to know that they're going to have that additional revenue going forward the folks who work in the restaurants to know that whatever else we have to weather we have seen that this experiment worked so expect to see that wonderful outdoor dining back next year we may even extend it further earlier in the spring but we'll start with june 1st for now okay so we're going to shut down he's saying we're going to shut down all of new york basically for for months and months and months and years and years and years here's the latest data from new york okay here's the latest data from new york okay the latest data from new york let's look at some of these charts okay so here's some charts daily testing in new york okay here's the positivity rate the positivity rate so in april the positivity rate on test in new york city was in excess of 70 this is for my friend david bonson and the positivity rate was in excess of seventy percent it has been less than two percent since june 16th it is currently at less than one percent the positivity rate in new york city okay how about some more charts okay we we have this one this is the total number of cases in manhattan okay in new york city there are over 6 000 daily cases a day in april and by the way that is wildly under counting because the testing simply was not available and so there are a lot of people who are getting this and suffering with it who are not being tested positively on monday there were 57 cases 57 cases in all of manhattan in all of manhattan okay let's look at hospitalizations in new york city in hospitalizations in new york city okay 15 total covet hospitalizations and this has been the case for months four months since the beginning of june you've been talking significantly under 100 hospitalizations for covid in new york city we are now down to 15. okay and the mortalities just don't exist in new york okay thank god mortalities are just gone there are many days of zero mortalities it is always less than ten it has been less than ten for weeks you are now more likely to be shot in new york city than you are to die from covet in new york city on a daily basis hey that is not an exaggeration that is a reality you are more likely today to be shot in new york city than you are to die of covid in new york city so when bill de blasio announces things like the schools are only going to open under certain conditions and we're going to do it like two days a week and then we're going to shift students in and out and we're going to shut down all the restaurants and we're going to make sure that nobody dines indoors like i have a question by what metric would you actually be able to reopen anything and the answer is that by no metric because by that the politics of the situation have completely taken over this is all insanity again you can be cautious and you can be and you can be smart and you can be risk averse you don't have to be an idiot but this is idiotic okay lockdown policies like this are idiotic meanwhile over in la we are similarly deploying the lip we won't shut down complete riots in the middle of la street so long as you are shouting george floyd at the time but we will make sure that lapd is deployed to ensure that if somebody has a private party in a mansion on a hilltop with a bunch of 20 year olds that the cops show up to break it up because the last thing we want is a bunch of 20 year olds getting covenant being fine that's the last thing we want and by the way if you're 20 that's what happens you get covered and you're fine and i'm noticing that there haven't been a lot of calls about racial profiling here okay this is tape from the mansion this is just from i don't see any uh a lot of white faces here okay there's a very disproportionately minority party okay no claims of racial profiling here the cops are fine apparently to go to mansions and break up mansion parties with a bunch of 20 year olds even if those 20 year olds are people of color right but if they actually go and they stop people from breaking storefronts on melrose boulevard that's a completely different story so lapd responded to a party at a mansion and again you can see from the video these are not 70 year old black people right these are 20 year olds who are in a pool this is what we've come to this is what we've come to does it seem like intelligent policy to you like seriously does it because i'm just wondering how under what circumstances is this intelligent policy to you by the way it's not the fault of the cops cops are bad except when they're breaking up pool parties where there's zero risk of harm to 20 year olds then the cops are good yeah you know it feels like what we really should be doing right now is looking at the fact that everything is trending the right way in places like texas and arizona and maybe even california california seems to have peaked at this point and we should be saying oh look there's there's light at the end of the tunnel and then it turns out that thanks to the media and thanks to our politicians that's just a train coming down the other end of the tunnel want a second we're going to get to our stupid politicians on a national level going at each other over over kovid and all the rest none of us giving us any sense of confidence because that's what we do where this is everything is stupid we'll get to that in just one second 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first major vpn provider to engineer all of their vpn servers to run in ram which makes it impossible for their vpn servers to store any data including logs of any expressvpn customer you don't have to take my or expressvpn's word for it expressvpn is so confident in their no logs claim they even had one of the biggest assurance firms pricewaterhousecooper audit their technology it's a good idea to protect yourself from all sorts of bad actors online expressvpn allows you to do this visit expressvpn.com right this moment find out how you can get three months for free that's e-x-p-r-e-s-s-vpns.com expressvpn.com ben go check them out right now okay so if you thought okay well at least maybe there's some experts who are going to give us some sort of you know good information here and we can trust the experts i am amazed to see how many politicians here's the way it works if trump says something bad about fauci then he's very mean and he's saying something bad about an expert if nancy pelosi rips on debra burks then she's very good so over the last several days for some odd reason nancy pelosi has decided that deborah burks is the enemy a lot of female solidarity happening here so yesterday nancy pelosi slammed dr deborah burks who's been doing her best in under trying circumstances at best here she was yesterday and they said well we'll bring a scientist to say that i said well sure it's not dr burks because i don't have confidence and anyone who stands there while the president says uh swallow lysol is going to cure your virus you know you'll kill you and you won't have the virus anymore i'm not i have confidence somebody when the president says it's a hoax it's magic it's going to go away by magic it's a miracle and all of those things okay so um i have i have a question uh what does she expect berks to do like go up and physically tackle trump i love the math here the math is trump's doing a bad job therefore we need all of his advisors to quit and if you stand there and you try to give him good advice that means that you're bad then andrew cuomo got in the act he started slamming brooks too so that was that was great here's the governor of new york who completely blew it his state is number one in terms of deaths it is not close and and here he was slamming dr deborah burks yeah look i think the the federal officials the white house dr burks the secretary they're sending the exact wrong message they've learned nothing in six months uh they're saying the same thing they said about the economic reopening just do it just do it it will be fine and what's really frustrating is we're replicating the mistake with schools that we made with the reopening it is the exact same point and the white house is saying the exact same thing okay there's a problem with this dude okay he's such an idiot he's such an idiot first of all burke's never said just do it second of all the notion that the re-openings are the cause of the vast spikes that doesn't actually match up on the timeline the protests might look much more like the cause of the vast spikes than the original reopenings which happened in may the uptick happened in july it's a two-month gap and then beyond that him suggesting that schools are just like every other element of society when it comes to reopening is belied by the actual data which demonstrates that schools have not been vectors of transmission in nearly any country they have been tried even in israel it's not clear why exactly the schools became a vector for a transmission the best going data right now is that the schools were being seated with people who already had coveted when they went to school they weren't clean they were just walking in with kovid already okay so berks fought back against this she said she has tremendous respect for pelosi but the criticism was uncalled for and then she suggested that things are still pretty bad which prompted trump to hit her so you know definitely what instills confidence in our system of public health is when public health experts like berks are ripped by the left and then ripped by trump in response to responding to the left and then everybody doesn't know what the hell anybody is talking about nobody can trust any of the data because no data is being presented in the first place do you feel more secure the great irony of this whole situation is government has never exercised more power in my lifetime than they are currently exercising over american life and abroad and yet there's going to be an entire group of people who suggest that the answer to all of this is to give government more power which is patently insane have you seen the people who run our government they're absolute freaking morons have the combined iq of a piece of bread i mean they're they're total adults okay i mean this like on all sides i'm talking about like this is not this is not a partisan point the people who are in charge of your life are some of the dumbest people i have ever seen in my entire life okay they don't know what in the hell they're talking about and they're not presenting good data that you can make good decisions based on and they're not making decisions that make any sense this is all crazy talk so here is burke's trying to do her best you know kind of clapping back slightly and nancy pelosi and then being slapped around by trump this is just i'm sorry this is all crazy and if you feel sanguine about any of this or if you think joe biden's going to solve any of this that old doddering none of it's going to solve any of it's the train is coming down the tunnel guys that ain't the light that's a train i have tremendous respect for the speaker i mean i have tenderest respect for her long dedication to the american people and i think it was unfortunate that new york times wrote this article without speaking to me this was not a polyanish view i have never been called polyanish or non-scientific or non-data driven and i will stake my 40-year career on those fundamental principles of utilizing data to really implement better programs to save more lives okay and this prompted trump to basically say well we should be pollyanna she's like here so trump then tweeted out so crazy nancy pelosi said horrible things about dr debra burks going after her because she was too positive on the very good job we are doing and combating the china virus including vaccines and therapeutics in order to counter nancy deborah took the bait and hit us pathetic he's so now he's ripped vouching and burgs like the two people who are out front and he brought them out front now he's ripping them do you feel more safe and secure today i mean that's that's really gonna be the question and if you're joe biden all you have to do is sit in that basement and be dead that's all you have to do it's the easiest thing in the world all you have to do is sit in the basement and just be not alive and people are saying right now why doesn't joe biden get out there and do interviews because why in the hell would he seriously why would he i mean the media are playing cover for crappy democrats across the country from bill de plazio to andrew cuomo to gavin newsom that they're doing a horrible job the democrats it doesn't matter the media will cover for them the media will cover for nancy pelosi when she rips on deborah berks and then trump will jump in with both feet and just instead of him saying nancy pelosi should respect public officials like deborah burks who are doing their best and nancy pelosi doesn't know what the hell she's talking about instead he jumps in and smacks bergs like this is you wonder why people are feeling a little bit disappointed right now why people are feeling a little bit confused the reason they're feeling a little bit confused is because nobody knows what the hell is going on and nobody's giving them any good solid information to make them feel like there is a plan in any of this and that goes for all sides now again i think the media play a lot of this up i think the media have an interest in the chaos i think the media liked the chaos i think the media have engaged in panic porn if i have to see another story about an individual anecdotal story of somebody who got coveted all i can say is that is the biggest waste of space in a newspaper i can think of anecdotal stories about people who got coveted are not useful data sets are useful it is useful for me to know what risk my parents are at that's what i want to know i want to know why we are six months into this pandemic and i still don't know what the actual infection fatality rate is for various age groups and by precondition in the united states how is that possible that's the only question that needs an answer and we still don't have that data what the hell is everybody doing with their time instead it's well if if ron desantis didn't lock down then he's a very bad man but if andrew cuomo did lock down he's a very good man and donald trump is bad and deborah burks is good or she's bad depends on who's ripping her at the time this is all nonsense it's absolute sheer nonsense and here's the thing the fact that it's all chaotic out there meant that if donald trump were a good communicator he could actually be taking advantage of that unfortunately the president happens to be when it comes to anything that requires any sort of

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